A photo of the Kenya Meteorological Department in Nairobi. Photo/Newsflash
By Daisy Okiring
The Kenya Meteorological Department has clarified that the high temperatures experienced across the country are a normal occurrence before the onset of the March-April-May (MAM) long rains season.
According to the department’s director, Dr David Gikungu, the rising temperatures, which have reached 32°C in the Highlands East of the Rift Valley—including Nairobi and Kiambu—and over 36°C in other parts of the country, are due to natural climatic patterns.
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“This season that we are looking to begin in mid-March is always preceded by very high temperatures,” Dr. Gikungu explained during an interview on KBC.
Sun’s movements towards the Equator
He attributed the heat to the sun’s movement towards the equator, which increases surface temperatures and creates low-pressure zones that attract winds.
“When these winds blow over large water bodies, such as the ocean, they carry moisture, which eventually leads to rainfall,” he added.
The Meteorological Department has confirmed the onset of the long rains next week, with showers expected in parts of Nairobi and other regions. However, according to the department’s seasonal weather forecast for MAM 2025, most areas will experience warmer-than-average temperatures, particularly in coastal and northern Kenya.
Rainfall distribution is expected to vary, with the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi, and the coastal region, including Mombasa, projected to receive near-to-below-average rainfall. The peak of the rainy season is expected in May. The department continues to monitor weather patterns and advises Kenyans to stay updated on forecasts to plan accordingly.
Locally, deforestation, rapid urbanization, and land degradation have reduced natural cooling effects, worsening heat conditions. Additionally, the El Niño weather phenomenon has contributed to unusual temperature spikes by disrupting normal rainfall patterns.
These factors have combined to create prolonged dry spells, water shortages, and increased health risks. Without urgent action, Kenya faces even higher temperatures and more severe climate impacts in the coming years.
