Half of Kenyans express deep distrust in IEBC

By Newsflash Writer

A new survey by TIFA Research has revealed a deep lack of confidence among Kenyans towards the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC), raising major concerns about the credibility of future elections.

When asked about the integrity of the last three general elections, only 31% of respondents believed that all were valid. Another 37% said only one or two elections were valid, while a concerning 32% said none were valid. This data paints a stark picture of public doubt in the electoral commission’s performance over the last decade.

Looking ahead, public skepticism remains high. Half of those surveyed (50%) said they are not confident at all that the next elections will be free and fair. Only 20% expressed strong confidence, while 21% said they were somewhat confident. Another 9% said they were unsure.

Corruption, political interference undermine confidence

The reasons behind this lack of confidence are also troubling. Twenty-nine percent of respondents cited corruption and voter bribery as key obstacles to free and fair elections, while 23% blamed a general lack of trust in the IEBC. Political interference was identified as the main reason by 20% of respondents. These issues reflect a system many feel is manipulated by powerful interests at the expense of democratic integrity.

President William Ruto holds a session with the IEBC Selection Panel at State House, Nairobi, on 6 May, 2025. Photo/PCS

The report also examined how political cooperation—or lack thereof—between President William Ruto and opposition leader Raila Odinga might influence the public’s view of the IEBC’s ability to conduct a fair election.

Only 30% of respondents felt that such cooperation would make the commission more likely to perform fairly. In contrast, 45% believed cooperation between the two leaders would make a fair process less likely, suggesting deep-seated fears of elite capture or manipulation. Another 26% were either unsure or believed cooperation would make no difference.

These findings underscore the urgent need for reforms to rebuild public trust in the IEBC. With the 2027 general elections drawing nearer, stakeholders—including Parliament, civil society, and the judiciary—face increasing pressure to ensure that electoral systems are transparent, independent, and insulated from both political and financial manipulation. Failure to do so may erode democratic participation and public faith in the country’s most critical institution.