President William Ruto addressing his supporters at Chuka town, Meru on 4 April, 2025. Photo/PCS
By Wanderi Kamau
President William Ruto’s recent flurry of political activity has triggered intense speculation among political analysts and leaders across the country.
From whirlwind tours in North Eastern, Western, Nyanza, and Mt Kenya, to reported plans to invade Kalonzo Musyoka’s Ukambani stronghold, Ruto’s early and aggressive 2027 campaigns bear all the hallmarks of a leader deeply unsettled — and possibly, panicking.
Despite being just two years into his term, the President appears unnerved by the shifting political tides and growing discontent from both within his inner circle and the general public. His own words betray a sense of urgency and defensiveness.
Speaking during a rally in Nyeri, Ruto declared: “If I do not deliver on my promises, I am ready to go home in 2027.” While it may have been intended as a display of humility, the statement only fueled the perception that the head of state is under immense pressure.
The anatomy of panic: Unprecedented moves and signs of strain
Nothing illustrates the anxiety in Ruto’s camp more than the unusual presence of high-ranking security officials at his political rallies. During his recent Mt Kenya visit, Inspector General of Police Douglas Kanja was spotted at a rally in Nyeri, sparking outrage and comparisons to Kenya’s darkest political days. “Even under Moi’s authoritarian rule, the police service never brazenly took sides in political campaigns,” noted political analyst Macharia Munene. “This is a disturbing signal that Ruto is blurring the lines between state institutions and politics.”
Even more concerning were statements made by Chief of Defence Forces (CDF) Charles Kahariri and National Intelligence Service (NIS) Director Noordin Haji warning so-called “Ruto Must Go” crusaders. Though cloaked in language of national security, many interpreted the comments as a veiled threat against growing opposition momentum.
Read more: Why military, NIS have gagged ‘Ruto Must Go’ campaigns
While Ruto’s early campaigns may have been designed to consolidate support and pre-empt opposition unity, they have also exposed significant vulnerabilities — particularly in Mt Kenya. Once a cornerstone of his 2022 victory, the region is now restive.
His key allies, including National Assembly Majority Leader Kimani Ichung’wah, Laikipia East MP Mwangi Kiunjuri, and Nyandarua Woman Rep Faith Gitau, were heckled in rallies across Murang’a, Nyandarua, and Embu counties. The reception was even frostier for Cecily Mbarire and Kindiki Kithure, whose presence in Mt Kenya East failed to energize the base.
Political commentator Javas Bigambo explained: “The hostility Ruto’s camp is facing in Mt Kenya is a clear sign that the ground has shifted. His economic promises have not materialized, and people are beginning to associate him with betrayal.”
The planned launch of projects like classrooms and minor infrastructure has done little to inspire confidence. Critics argue that such initiatives fall far short of the transformational agenda the President promised.
Internal turmoil and fallout with allies
The discontent is not only from the electorate. Within Ruto’s own Kenya Kwanza alliance, cracks have become visible. One of the most telling defections is that of former Public Service Cabinet Secretary Justin Muturi. Once a loyal lieutenant, Muturi has now turned into one of Ruto’s fiercest critics, recently exposing alleged corruption within the government.
In a stunning revelation, Muturi claimed that Ruto attempted to coerce him into approving a shady $1 billion deal with Russian oligarchs while serving as Attorney General — an offer he says he refused due to legal and ethical concerns.
“This is not just a policy fallout; it’s a political divorce,” said political analyst Dismas Mokua. “When your trusted allies begin to expose you, it’s not just betrayal — it’s a sign your regime is losing moral authority and internal cohesion.”
Muturi’s exposé comes at a time when other former allies such as Moses Kuria and Ndindi Nyoro have noticeably distanced themselves from Ruto’s inner circle. Their absence from recent high-profile rallies suggests a coordinated move to disassociate from a regime facing credibility issues.
Backed into a corner, Ruto’s counter-strategy seems to be overdrive campaigning and populist messaging. But it may be too little, too late.
His promises on affordable housing, cost of living, and youth employment have yet to bear tangible results. The Gen Z protests of 2023 and the Finance Bill backlash still linger in public memory.
Read more:How Raila controls Ruto’s 2027 presidential bid
As Ruto prepares to venture into Ukambani — home turf of Kalonzo Musyoka — political analysts say this may be another sign of desperation. “He’s trying to fish in every pond before his opponents unite,” said Bigambo. “But without fixing his home base, these moves might backfire.”
Outlook
Ruto’s early and aggressive re-election campaign, controversial use of state officers at rallies, heckling of his allies in Mt Kenya, and betrayal by former loyalists paint a picture of a presidency under siege.
According to political analysts, while it’s still early in the electoral calendar, the signs of panic are unmistakable. Whether Ruto can steady the ship, rebuild trust, and revive his waning popularity remains to be seen — but the road to 2027 is already looking rough.
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